Negotiations over a US-brokered Gaza roadmap under the Trump-led Board of Peace continue to shape prospects for a formal Hamas disarmament commitment by late 2026. Hamas officials have signaled conditional acceptance of phased decommissioning and power transfer to a technocratic committee, yet insist Israel must first approve the full text and begin withdrawal steps before implementation proceeds. Israeli positions emphasize complete demilitarization, including heavy weapons and tunnels, prior to any further withdrawals beyond current lines. Sequencing disputes, verification mechanisms, and Hamas interpretations of "decommissioning" versus outright removal remain central sticking points, with recent statements reaffirming the legitimacy of resistance arms pending internal Palestinian dialogue. US mediation and any shifts in Israeli or Hamas public positions ahead of year-end could influence the timeline for an official announcement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions