Trump’s February 2026 directive launched the PURSUE program at the Department of War, producing six rolling tranches of UAP records through September 18, 2026, with additional materials from the FBI, NASA, and military archives. A summer advisory panel chaired by Avi Loeb and a September Pentagon waiver easing NDA restrictions for insiders have sustained momentum by facilitating further review and potential disclosures. Recent releases include historical Project Blue Book files and 2025 sensor data, while the administration has signaled continued coordination across agencies without announcing a single major event. Traders assess probabilities based on the established pattern of periodic releases and institutional support rather than any specific upcoming deadline.