A federal judge’s October 14 preliminary injunction has kept CNN, MS NOW, and Politico reporters inside the White House while their First Amendment and due-process challenge proceeds, after the outlets sued over the September 18 ban. The Trump administration restored access following the initial restraining order and has appealed rather than disregarded the ruling, with no reported violations or pending contempt motions as of mid-October. Legal timelines for hearings, briefing, and any sanctions typically extend well beyond the October 31 deadline, and historical patterns show administrations generally comply with district-court injunctions during appeals. These factors underpin traders’ 79% consensus that contempt is unlikely before month-end.