Marine Le Pen leads the 2027 French presidential race in trader pricing at 41% due to her consistent first-round polling strength around 32-37% and loyal Rassemblement National base, even after legal proceedings. Édouard Philippe follows at 21.5% as the strongest centrist option when unified, though rivalry with Gabriel Attal fragments that bloc and caps his support near 13-16% in recent surveys. Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 11.5% benefits from left-wing momentum and first-round scores near 15-18%, often edging Philippe in divided scenarios. Raphaël Glucksmann's October 2026 center-left primary victory positions him modestly around 10%, while broader polarization, Macron-era fatigue, and economic concerns reinforce the gap between frontrunners and the rest ahead of the April 2027 vote.
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