Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

$348,641 Vol.

Apr 18, 2027

Marine Le Pen

$17,440 Vol.

89%

Édouard Philippe

$5,831 Vol.

50%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$20,057 Vol.

39%

David Lisnard

$150,525 Vol.

15%

Bruno Retailleau

$3,998 Vol.

François Hollande

$13,182 Vol.

Gabriel Attal

$6,675 Vol.

Raphaël Glucksmann

$8,239 Vol.

Jordan Bardella

$23,539 Vol.

Dominique de Villepin

$2,091 Vol.

Manuel Bompard

$6,906 Vol.

Clémentine Autain

$4,671 Vol.

$348,641 Vol.

Marine Le Pen

$17,440 Vol.

89%

Édouard Philippe

$5,831 Vol.

50%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$20,057 Vol.

39%

David Lisnard

$150,525 Vol.

15%

Bruno Retailleau

$3,998 Vol.

François Hollande

$13,182 Vol.

Gabriel Attal

$6,675 Vol.

Raphaël Glucksmann

$8,239 Vol.

Jordan Bardella

$23,539 Vol.

Dominique de Villepin

$2,091 Vol.

Manuel Bompard

$6,906 Vol.

Clémentine Autain

$4,671 Vol.

Éric Zemmour

$731 Vol.

Marine Tondelier

$3,494 Vol.

Élisabeth Borne

$4,408 Vol.

Sarah Knafo

$5,266 Vol.

Juan Branco

$4,458 Vol.

Gérald Darmanin

$2,332 Vol.

Fabien Roussel

$7,271 Vol.

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$3,718 Vol.

François Ruffin

$7,214 Vol.

Sébastien Lecornu

$2,180 Vol.

Olivier Faure

$2,709 Vol.

Clémence Guetté

$2,309 Vol.

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$1,938 Vol.

Michel Barnier

$2,303 Vol.

Bernard Cazeneuve

$5,743 Vol.

François Asselineau

$1,871 Vol.

Ségolène Royal

$4,847 Vol.

François Bayrou

$4,227 Vol.

Carole Delga

$11,047 Vol.

Valérie Pécresse

$1,656 Vol.

Laurent Wauquiez

$921 Vol.

Jean Castex

$1,282 Vol.

Mathilde Panot

$1,890 Vol.

Xavier Bertrand

$1,561 Vol.

Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Volume

$348,641

End Date

Apr 18, 2027

Market Opened

Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/

Resolver

0x65070be91...

Volume

$348,641

End Date

Apr 18, 2027

Market Opened

Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/

Resolver

0x65070be91...

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marine Le Pen" at 90%, followed by "Édouard Philippe" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" has generated $348.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" is "Marine Le Pen" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Édouard Philippe" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $348.6K traded on “Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 90¢ for "Marine Le Pen" in the "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 90% chance that "Marine Le Pen" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 90¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 10¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Apr 18, 2027. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" market has a growing discussion of 5 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Comments (5)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?"?

What are the current odds for "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?"?

How will "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" be resolved?

Can I follow "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?"?

What does a price of 90¢ for "Marine Le Pen" mean?

When does the "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" market close?

What are traders saying about "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?"?

What is Polymarket?

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Comments (5)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?"?

What are the current odds for "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?"?

How will "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" be resolved?

Can I follow "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?"?

What does a price of 90¢ for "Marine Le Pen" mean?

When does the "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" market close?

What are traders saying about "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?"?

What is Polymarket?