US federal prosecutors in Manhattan added torture conspiracy charges in early October 2026 to the existing narco-terrorism, cocaine importation, and weapons counts against Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores, who were seized in a January 2026 military operation. The June 2027 trial date remains distant, with defense motions to dismiss on sovereign immunity grounds pending and a November hearing scheduled. Prosecutors argue Maduro lacks immunity as a former leader of a state no longer recognizing him, while the defense plans to contest the indictment's validity and extraterritorial reach. Traders price "No" at 72.5% because full conviction on every count by the 2027 resolution deadline faces significant procedural, legal, and evidentiary hurdles typical in complex, high-profile cases involving foreign officials.