**Lee Jae-myung’s position as president remains secure through 2026.** Elected in the June 2025 snap election following Yoon Suk-yeol’s impeachment and removal, he serves a single five-year term ending in 2030 under the constitution, which bars the incumbent from benefiting from any term-extension amendments. Recent polling shows approval ratings fluctuating in the mid-30s to low-40s amid National Assembly audits over judicial appointments, DMZ security incidents, housing costs, and new investigative bodies, with a modest rebound to 44% in mid-October surveys. Opposition parties have gained ground in some measures, yet no credible impeachment process, resignation pressure, or constitutional challenge has emerged that would force an early exit. Lee has repeatedly and explicitly ruled out pursuing reelection or term changes. These structural and political realities underpin trader consensus that removal before year-end 2026 carries low probability.
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