Alabama's congressional map, redrawn after the Supreme Court permitted a Republican-led plan earlier in 2026, positions only one district as reliably Democratic for the November 3 general election. The 7th District remains a safe hold for incumbent Terri Sewell given its D+10 partisan lean, while the other six districts carry Republican advantages ranging from R+7 to R+33. The 2nd District, won by Democrat Shomari Figures in 2024 under prior court-ordered boundaries, now leans Republican and is rated Likely or Lean Republican by forecasters, limiting any realistic path for a second Democratic seat absent a major national shift or turnout surge. Traders therefore price one seat as the dominant outcome, with modest probability attached to retaining two amid Alabama's broader Republican structural edge in federal contests.