Recent weak Canadian employment data, with a 68.3K job loss in September and unemployment rising to 6.5%, has tilted trader sentiment slightly toward no change at the Bank of Canada's December 9 decision, where the policy rate currently stands at 2.25%. Core inflation measures remain near the 2% target despite headline readings around 2.4% driven by energy prices amid geopolitical tensions, limiting scope for immediate tightening. Markets price the contest closely between a hold and a 25 basis point hike, reflecting uncertainty over whether oil-driven inflation pressures will spill into broader measures versus softening growth and trade risks. Key upcoming releases include October inflation data and the October 28 Monetary Policy Report.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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