Market surveys, including the BCRA’s latest Relevamiento de Expectativas de Mercado, center September CPI around 1.9% month-over-month, up modestly from August’s 1.7% print—the lowest in 14 months. Seasonal pressures in food and clothing are expected to lift the headline rate, while core inflation has held near 1.8%, reflecting the gradual disinflation trajectory under current monetary and fiscal policies. Analyst estimates cluster between 1.8% and 2.1%, aligning with the Polymarket concentration in the 1.9–2.1% interval at 61.5% implied probability. Release today follows a long weekend, with limited scope for major surprises given the narrow consensus range and stable exchange-rate backdrop.