The Parti Québécois secured 59 of 127 seats in the October 5, 2026, Quebec election on roughly 28 percent of the vote, producing a 19-seat margin over the Liberals’ 40 seats and leaving it five short of a majority. This outcome aligns with pre-election projections showing the PQ on track for a minority government amid a fragmented field, where the Conservatives took 19 seats, Québec solidaire nine, and the CAQ none. Vote efficiency across rural francophone ridings and the collapse of the incumbent CAQ enabled the PQ to convert a modest popular-vote lead into the largest seat total. Trader consensus on a 10-19 seat margin for the PQ reflects these confirmed results and the low likelihood of recounts altering the narrow gap with the second-place party.