Recent flock rebuilding following 2025 highly pathogenic avian influenza outbreaks has shifted the U.S. egg market into oversupply, pushing the BLS average retail price for a dozen Grade A large eggs to $2.27 in August 2026—down sharply from 2025 peaks above $6 but up modestly month-over-month from June and July levels. This positions the $2.20–$2.30 range as the market-implied leader at 56.5% probability, reflecting trader consensus on stabilized wholesale benchmarks near $0.40 and light-to-moderate retail demand. Expected 8% feed cost increases in late 2026 and seasonal holiday demand represent key swing factors that could support modest further gains without reversing the broader abundance.