Current forecast consensus from models such as GFS indicates overnight lows near 11–12°C in Milan on October 14 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure near 1029 hPa, which supports moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs around 20–22°C. These conditions align with typical mid-October climatology, where minimums average 11–12°C, though calm nights can allow brief dips toward 9–10°C in less urbanized pockets. Trader emphasis on 9°C and lower outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact minimum timing and potential for localized cooling, while probabilities below 8°C remain low given the absence of cold-air advection or stronger northerly flow. Updated model runs and official observations will refine resolution criteria for the daily low.