**Official temperature observations from Taipei stations, including Songshan Airport, have confirmed a daily maximum of 30°C on October 14, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability on that outcome.** Afternoon readings under mostly cloudy skies with easterly winds around 10–15 mph aligned with model consensus from GFS data, placing the high precisely at this threshold amid typical October variability (climatological average high near 28–29°C). Late-day stabilization and absence of further warming or cooling events eliminated upside or downside risk. While minor revisions in final verified records from the Central Weather Administration could theoretically shift resolution, current observational agreement across multiple sources makes such adjustments highly improbable.