BlackRock reports Q3 2026 earnings before the open on October 14, with consensus estimates centered on $14.30–$14.39 EPS and roughly $7.43–$7.63 billion in revenue, implying 23–24% year-over-year EPS growth. Trader sentiment remains near even at 50.8% probability of a miss because recent 30-day estimate revisions have turned modestly lower amid broader market caution, even as the firm’s 11-quarter beat streak, record AUM inflows, and organic base-fee growth continue to support elevated expectations. Key swing factors include third-quarter net inflows, iShares Bitcoin Trust flows, and any updates on private-markets or technology revenue. The release itself, followed by management guidance, will determine whether the outcome tilts decisively.