**Strong recent performance and typical late-run decay have cemented the 150-160 million domestic range as the clear market favorite.** The Zach Cregger-directed Resident Evil opened to a franchise-record $60 million in September and has already reached roughly $141 million after four weeks, outpacing prior entries like Afterlife. Horror films generally see sharp drops after the first month, and current daily figures around $1-2 million point to an additional $10-20 million through October 31. This trajectory aligns with the 94.7% implied probability for the leading bin. An upset above $160 million would require unusually strong word-of-mouth legs or a late Halloween surge that exceeds recent comparable titles, while falling below $150 million appears unlikely given the film’s established hold.