**Resident Evil** (2026) has already banked roughly $138.7 million domestically through its fourth weekend, positioning the 150–160 million bracket as the clear market favorite at 96.3% implied probability. The Zach Cregger-directed horror title opened strongly at $60 million but has followed a typical front-loaded pattern, with recent weekends falling to $8.3–8.6 million amid normal drops and new competition. With roughly three weeks remaining until the October 31 cutoff, traders expect another $12–20 million in gradual play, consistent with its current 2.3x multiplier and the genre’s historical trajectory. An upset into the 160 million-plus range would require unusually strong word-of-mouth or a late Halloween surge that exceeds current tracking.