Recent polling from mid-October shows DPP candidate Su Chiao-hui leading KMT nominee Lee Shu-chuan by double digits after gains among undecided voters and in traditionally KMT-leaning districts, aligning with trader consensus pricing her at 58% and Lee at 41.5%. The November 28 election features a narrowed field of three confirmed candidates following Central Election Commission qualification review, with Lee backed by KMT-TPP integration to succeed incumbent Hou You-yi. Su’s emphasis on local infrastructure and urban renewal has supported her momentum, while both campaigns intensify district-level outreach ahead of the vote. Huang Kuo-chang’s near-zero pricing reflects the earlier party coordination that consolidated opposition support behind Lee.