Forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely overnight minimum near 6–9°C in Munich on October 16 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with daytime highs reaching 18–20°C. Trader sentiment remains evenly split on extremes because small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture can alter nocturnal radiative cooling rates by several degrees, while weak high-pressure influence limits strong cold-air advection from the Alps. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and DWD runs highlight genuine uncertainty around the precise low, with resolution hinging on whether clear-sky conditions develop overnight or persistent stratus moderates temperatures. Fresh model updates and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before settlement.