Forecasts from global models and the South African Weather Service show Cape Town’s overnight minimum on October 14 hovering near 10–13°C amid increasing northwest winds and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Recent model runs have fluctuated between cooler scenarios under clearer breaks and milder readings tied to stronger onshore flow, keeping the 4°C-or-below and 14°C-or-higher outcomes nearly even at roughly 49–50% implied probability. Key variables include exact timing of any clearing, dew-point depression, and local topography effects on minimum readings, with updated guidance expected overnight to narrow the range before resolution.