Incumbent Republican Eli Crane and Democratic challenger Jonathan Nez, a former Navajo Nation president, face off in the November 3 general election for Arizona's 2nd congressional district. The rematch of the 2024 contest remains closely contested in trader pricing, reflecting the district's rural conservative tilt balanced against Nez's appeal among Native American voters and recent Democratic outside spending on attack ads. Polling since the July primaries shows Crane leading by narrow to moderate margins, with limited new surveys since August leaving room for movement. Increased fundraising by both campaigns and national midterm dynamics contribute to the tight positioning around small Republican edges. Key upcoming factors include further ad waves, turnout in key counties, and any late shifts in voter sentiment that could widen or narrow the final margin.