Strong opening weekend performance of roughly $32–33 million for the Colleen Hoover adaptation, combined with typical frontloaded patterns for R-rated erotic thrillers, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward a 12–13 million second weekend. Mixed critical reception (around 32–34% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a C+ CinemaScore have reinforced expectations of a steep 60%+ drop, consistent with comparable genre titles that rely heavily on opening-weekend curiosity rather than sustained word-of-mouth. Upcoming chart updates and final theater counts remain the main swing factors, though realistic upsets would require notably stronger audience retention or lighter competition than current tracking indicates.