RFK Jr. remains firmly in place as HHS Secretary, with recent leadership reorganizations, congressional testimony, and public events underscoring his active role advancing administration priorities on food policy, vaccines, and agency structure. The White House has increased his visibility ahead of midterms rather than signaling any transition, and earlier speculation about a post-election exit has not materialized. No official statements, Senate actions, or credible reports indicate imminent resignation or removal before year-end, aligning with the market's 88% probability on "No." Traders appear to weigh his entrenched position and ongoing policy execution as outweighing isolated criticisms or unverified rumors.