Sherrod Brown holds a polling edge over appointed Republican incumbent Jon Husted in the November 2026 special election for Ohio’s U.S. Senate seat, reflecting the former senator’s strong name recognition and fundraising parity after his 2024 defeat. Recent surveys, including those from SSRS, Siena, and YouGov, show Brown ahead by 3–6 points in most aggregates, though some late Republican-leaning polls narrow the gap to within the margin of error. Husted benefits from the state’s Republican tilt and endorsements but faces the structural challenge of defending an appointed seat in a midterm environment. Trader consensus prices in Brown’s slight advantage amid competitive turnout dynamics and limited recent campaign developments that have yet to shift the race decisively.