Narendra Modi continues to lead India’s NDA coalition government with a stable parliamentary majority following the 2024 elections and recent bypoll gains in West Bengal and Assam. The next Lok Sabha election remains scheduled for 2029, with no scheduled national vote or constitutional trigger that would force an earlier change. Recent protests targeting the Chief Election Commissioner have drawn opposition participation and detentions but have not produced a no-confidence motion, cabinet defections, or credible internal BJP challenge capable of removing him. Modi’s position shows no immediate threat from health developments, resignation signals, or coalition fractures, consistent with trader consensus that he will remain prime minister past mid-2027.
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