Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS models indicate Toronto’s overnight low on October 14 will likely fall in the 9–12°C range after a cold front sweeps through on Tuesday, shifting winds to the northwest and advecting cooler air behind the passage of post-tropical moisture. This follows an unusually warm Tuesday high near 25°C driven by southerly flow and high humidity. Radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies and moderate northwest winds around 15–20 km/h should limit further drops, keeping the minimum well above the 6°C-or-below bucket while making 16°C-plus unlikely. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the overnight period remain the key variables that could refine these market-implied odds.