Recent forecast models from sources including global meteorological services project a nighttime minimum near 21–22°C in Tel Aviv on October 13 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northwesterly winds around 10–14 mph. These conditions align with typical mid-October Mediterranean patterns, where radiative cooling overnight is moderated by residual warmth from daytime highs near 27°C and stable high pressure. Historical climatology places the average low around 20–21°C, supporting trader consensus on 21°C at 45.5% implied probability while capping odds for extremes below 19°C or above 27°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts.