**Forecast models from sources like GFS and local analyses point to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly winds, positioning the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on October 13 near 21°C as the market leader at 44.5% implied probability.** Multiple runs show minima typically between 21–23°C (roughly 70–73°F), consistent with seasonal October coastal patterns where the Mediterranean moderates extremes and dew points support limited further drop. Recent developments include a slight cooling trend from Monday’s conditions and low precipitation chances, which reduce cloud cover that could otherwise trap heat. Outcomes around 19–22°C cluster near 33.5%, while 18°C or below sits at 14.5% given the current model consensus and historical baselines near 21°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty range from ensemble spreads ahead of official Israel Meteorological Service observations.