Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a Thursday night low near 79°F in Miami, driven by a persistent warm, humid air mass with easterly flow and limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Recent observations show overnight minima in the upper 70s amid daytime highs in the mid-80s, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-October in South Florida. Model consensus supports this range with modest spread, though scattered showers could slightly influence local readings. Trader positioning heavily favors the 78-79°F bucket at 46.5% implied probability, reflecting alignment with current guidance, while lower or higher extremes price in greater uncertainty around any rapid frontal passage or model shift ahead of resolution.