**Persistent warm, humid air and light easterly winds are keeping overnight lows elevated in Miami on October 14, 2026.** Official National Weather Service forecasts from the Miami office indicate an expected daily minimum in the upper 70s°F, with specific guidance pointing to lows around 78–81°F under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and a light northeast-to-east breeze. This aligns closely with recent observed minima (e.g., 78°F on October 13) and the absence of any significant cold front or radiational cooling event. High dew points and residual moisture from scattered showers or thunderstorms limit temperature drops after sunset, a common pattern in subtropical South Florida during mid-October. Model consensus shows little day-to-day variability in the overnight period, supporting the dominant market-implied outcome of 78–79°F. Traders appear to be weighting these stable NWS and numerical guidance products heavily, as deviations would require an unexpected shift in steering flow or increased cloud cover that has not materialized in the latest updates.