Current forecasts for Mexico City on October 12, 2026, show overnight lows near 13–14°C amid light rain, high humidity above 90%, and persistent cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. At the city's 2,240-meter elevation, these conditions moderate temperature drops compared to clearer nights, keeping the minimum close to recent model runs from sources like the National Meteorological Service. Trader odds cluster tightly around 14–15°C because small differences in precipitation timing or wind shifts could push the overnight reading one degree either way, while lower probabilities for 11°C or below reflect the unlikelihood of stronger cold advection during the wet season. Official observations through the morning confirm temperatures holding above 13°C, supporting market-implied consensus on a mild low.