Current forecasts for Guangzhou point to a minimum temperature near 24–25°C on October 15, driven by persistent southeasterly flow, moderate humidity near 60–80%, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble model runs show only modest spread, with light winds and the absence of a strong cold front keeping values well above the historical mid-October average low of about 21°C. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact overnight cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing: clearer conditions could allow brief dips toward 23–24°C, while increased low-level moisture or drizzle would hold readings near 25–26°C. Trader positioning aligns closely with these near-term model consensus ranges.