Warm, humid southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico, combined with persistent cloud cover and dew points near 75°F, is limiting overnight radiative cooling and keeping Austin temperatures elevated. Official National Weather Service forecasts and recent model guidance point to a daily minimum in the mid-70s on October 13, with lows around 73–78°F expected amid south winds of 10–15 mph. This pattern aligns with trader consensus favoring the 72–75°F range as the most probable outcome. Key variables that could shift the exact low include changes in cloud thickness or any scattered showers, though a stronger cold front remains days away. Updated NWS guidance and fresh model runs will refine the picture ahead of market resolution.