Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional place the October 14 maximum in Mexico City between 24–26 °C under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and a modest chance of drizzle. This range aligns closely with the market’s tight clustering around 25 °C and 26 °C. Subtle differences in model guidance on afternoon cloud cover and the timing of any showers determine whether peak readings reach the upper or lower end of that interval; clearer breaks could allow brief warming toward 26 °C, while lingering low-level moisture and reduced insolation favor 25 °C or below. High-elevation diurnal ranges and the tail end of the rainy season add further uncertainty, with the next official update and afternoon model runs likely to sharpen the distinction.