The recent small-scale Andes virus outbreak aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship, which produced 13 confirmed cases and three deaths before containment through quarantine and contact tracing, underscores why traders assign a 98.5% probability against a 2026 hantavirus pandemic. Official assessments from the WHO and European health authorities describe the risk to the general population as very low, citing the virus's primary rodent-borne zoonotic spillover pattern, requirement for prolonged close contact in human-to-human transmission, and absence of sustained community spread after May 2026. Hantaviruses typically cause sporadic pulmonary or renal syndrome cases rather than exponential epidemics. A realistic shift could occur only with a novel, highly transmissible variant emerging from a large rodent reservoir in an urban setting that evades early detection.