Google announced Gemini 4 Argon on September 30, 2026, as its new frontier large language model optimized for long-horizon software engineering, enterprise workflows, and defensive cybersecurity, with a 1-million-token output limit and strong benchmark leads on tasks like DeepSWE v1.1. The company immediately began a controlled rollout to vetted users in its Fairwind Program and internal teams while iterating on guardrails and engaging U.S. government pre-release processes, with no public timeline beyond “as soon as possible” for paid API customers and Google AI Ultra subscribers. As of mid-October, access remains gated and the model is absent from the general Gemini API and consumer apps. Market-implied odds heavily favor an October 13 resolution because traders interpret the two-week phased window and recent internal references as signals that broader availability could arrive imminently, though any delay in safety or regulatory steps could shift probabilities toward later dates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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