**Trader sentiment heavily favors "No" at 95% implied probability because the February 2026 sale of Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pikachu Illustrator Pokémon card established an unmatched benchmark at $16,492,000.** That transaction, verified by Guinness World Records through Goldin Auctions, benefited from exceptional rarity—one of 39 copies, the sole PSA 10—combined with celebrity ownership, live-stream hype, and a diamond necklace bonus that drove bidding past prior records like the 1952 Topps Mickey Mantle or Jordan-Bryant Logoman cards. Since then, the high-end market has shown no comparable momentum: recent top sales, including a PSA 9 Illustrator at $5 million in September and sports cards such as a $8 million Cooper Flagg patch or $1.25 million Messi Nebula, remain far below the threshold. With only weeks remaining until year-end and no announced ultra-rare releases or major auctions positioned to eclipse it, traders see limited realistic pathways for a new record. An upset would require an unforeseen private deal involving another singular grail—such as a hidden one-of-one modern card surfacing with similar cultural cachet—but current data and thin liquidity in the seven-figure-plus segment make that improbable before December 31.