OpenAI’s established second-place ranking on OpenRouter behind DeepSeek drives the 98.4% market-implied odds for the week of November 2. Recent snapshots show DeepSeek capturing 38–42% of tracked tokens via aggressive V4.1 Flash updates and low pricing, while OpenAI’s GPT-6 Luna and related models maintain roughly 7–12% share through steady developer routing and balanced performance across coding and general tasks. This positions OpenAI ahead of Z.ai, Anthropic, and others amid price-sensitive gateway traffic that favors open-weight options. A sharp new release from Z.ai or Tencent, or an unexpected dip in OpenAI model availability, could still shift the outcome before weekly figures finalize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved













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