Strong opening weekend performance of $15.6 million from just 855 theaters, combined with the film's wide expansion to 2,655 locations, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for an 11M+ second weekend at 99.7% implied probability. The A24 documentary on Elizabeth Holmes benefited from exceptional word-of-mouth, over 2,000 sellouts, and a young audience skew, defying initial projections and echoing rare historical standouts like Borat. Positive critical reception and sustained buzz have fueled daily holds and positioned the film for a substantial increase despite typical second-weekend drops. An upset below 11M would require an unusually sharp decline in attendance or external disruptions, scenarios viewed as remote given current tracking and momentum.