Iran has conducted over 1,000 strikes into northern Iraq's Kurdistan Region since February 2026, primarily targeting U.S.-linked sites and Iranian Kurdish opposition groups such as Komala. The most recent incident occurred on November 4 with a drone strike on a Komala headquarters near Erbil. These actions form part of the broader U.S.-Iran conflict, with Iran-backed militias also active inside Iraq and Baghdad closing select border crossings with Iran in late October to limit smuggling and escalation risks. Iraq has reinforced border forces and granted commanders expanded authority for rapid response while affirming neutrality and pursuing security cooperation with Arab states. Trader assessments of near-term targeting probabilities reflect this sustained pattern of Iranian cross-border operations, alongside diplomatic efforts to contain spillover and any new U.S. strikes that could prompt further Iranian retaliation.