Recent legislative efforts to restrict congressional stock trading have stalled amid partisan divisions and procedural requirements. The House passed H.R. 7008 in July 2026 by 232-198, prohibiting new individual stock purchases by members, spouses, and dependents while preserving existing holdings under notice rules, but the measure included unrelated voter ID provisions. A Senate cloture vote on September 30 failed 53-47, seven short of the 60 needed, along party lines. With the 119th Congress concluding in January 2027 and limited remaining session time after the November midterms, additional bills face significant barriers to enactment. Traders' 94.5% implied probability on "No" reflects these repeated failures to overcome Senate thresholds and scope disagreements before the deadline.