Trader consensus around 97% against removal via the 25th Amendment before 2027 stems from the amendment’s Section 4 requirements, which demand the vice president and a cabinet majority to declare presidential inability, followed by congressional affirmation. President Trump’s cabinet consists of appointees aligned with his priorities, and Vice President JD Vance has shown no indication of supporting such a step. Recent partisan calls for invocation, often tied to public statements on foreign policy or perceived fitness, have not produced any cabinet-level action or medical evidence of incapacity. Historical precedent shows the provision has never removed a president. Shifts remain possible only through a sudden, verifiable health crisis rendering the president unable to discharge duties or an unprecedented cabinet reversal, both viewed as low-probability events within the timeframe.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions