The Patriots' 29-26 road victory over the Bills on October 4 at Highmark Stadium has elevated the likelihood of a split or New England series win. Drake Maye threw three touchdowns, including the decisive late score to Efton Chism, while Josh Allen's final interception sealed Buffalo's first home loss of 2026. The Bills sit at 3-1 but showed turnover issues and defensive lapses against New England's ground attack and passing game. With the rematch set for December 6 at Gillette Stadium, traders see a closely contested matchup where recent form, divisional rivalry trends, and home-field dynamics favor either a tie or Patriots sweep over a Buffalo sweep.