Pierre Poilievre continues to lead the Conservative Party of Canada as opposition leader following the 2025 federal election, where the party increased its seat count to 144 despite trailing the Liberals' minority government under Mark Carney. A January 2026 leadership review at the party convention delivered 87.4% support, reinforcing his position amid some caucus departures and internal discussions. Recent developments include Poilievre's active engagement on trade policy, Canadian unity ahead of Alberta's referendum, and public statements dismissing external pressures, with no scheduled convention, formal challenge, or resignation signals before year-end. Traders' strong consensus that he remains in place reflects the limited window to December 31, 2026, combined with party mechanisms favoring continuity absent a major catalyst.