Netanyahu leads at 29% due to Israel's October 27 election, where polls show his Likud bloc competitive yet facing strong opposition challenges tied to security record and coalition dynamics. Sánchez sits at 8.6% after calling Spain's November 29 snap election over housing policy defeats and fragile coalition support. Lecornu's 4.9% reflects France's recent prime ministerial resignation and ongoing parliamentary fragmentation. The 48.5% on "None before 2027" captures the absence of comparable near-term electoral or institutional pressures for other listed leaders, though Zelenskyy and others carry lower but non-zero risk from conflict or domestic strains.