Narendra Modi retains a parliamentary majority for his BJP-led coalition and continues to enjoy backing from the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh, factors that anchor trader expectations he will remain prime minister past mid-2027. Recent youth-led protests by the Cockroach Janta Party and opposition marches targeting Chief Election Commissioner Gyanesh Kumar over voter-roll revisions have generated headlines and detentions in Delhi, yet these actions center on electoral processes rather than direct calls for the prime minister’s immediate removal. State-level BJP victories and the absence of no-confidence motions or coalition fractures reinforce the view that structural barriers, including the timing of the next general election, make an early exit unlikely. Market pricing reflects this consensus on institutional continuity amid localized unrest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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