Recent model runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show high uncertainty in Wuhan's overnight minimum for October 15, with temperatures hinging on the timing and strength of a weak cold front and variable cloud cover. Clear skies would enhance radiational cooling and favor lower readings near 15–17 °C, while increased moisture or light winds could limit the drop to 20–23 °C. Historical mid-October baselines for the region center around 18–21 °C, and traders appear to weigh the spread of ensemble members equally given limited recent observational shifts. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely refine the most probable bin ahead of market resolution.