Recent forecast models from agencies including Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international sources show minimum temperatures in Taipei on October 17 likely ranging 22–25°C under easterly winds and partly cloudy conditions that limit radiative cooling. This narrow band near seasonal norms creates closely matched market-implied odds around 50% for 21°C or below versus 31°C or higher, reflecting genuine short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns rather than major synoptic shifts. Updated model runs through October 15 indicate minimal divergence, with traders weighing historical October lows against the current stable high-pressure influence.