Recent forecasts from models such as GFS indicate the overnight low in Paris on October 13 will likely settle between 12°C and 16°C under mild westerly flow and high pressure, with current afternoon readings near 20–24°C and humidity supporting gradual overnight cooling. This places the expected minimum several degrees above the long-term October 13 average low of roughly 9°C, reflecting the warmer-than-normal pattern observed through mid-month. Trader consensus, with the strongest implied probabilities on 14–15°C outcomes, aligns closely with these model runs and the absence of any incoming cold air mass or significant cloud cover that could alter radiative cooling rates. Updated observations through the evening will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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