**Official India Meteorological Department forecasts project a minimum temperature near 22°C in Lucknow on October 14 under mainly clear skies and dry conditions, aligning with recent observations of 21.8°C on October 12 and supporting moderate overnight cooling typical of post-monsoon October.** Steady high pressure and light winds limit radiative cooling variability, while maximum temperatures near 33°C maintain a diurnal range consistent with seasonal baselines. Trader consensus favoring 27°C or higher at 49% implied probability likely reflects model runs showing limited further drops and historical October minima averaging around 19°C, though forecast uncertainty remains as new observational data or minor wind shifts could adjust the overnight low within a narrow range before resolution.